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Retail & Ecommerce

More than a dozen food manufacturers have pledged to remove artificial dyes from their products in response to pressure from US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement. The shift from artificial dyes underscores the increased sway of public health advocates and consumer demand for cleaner labels—even in the absence of conclusive science. It puts food manufacturers in a tough spot: They are under pressure to reformulate without compromising appearance or taste, all while facing steep costs and limited upside for benefits that may be more symbolic than nutritional.

The Ulta Beauty at Target partnership, which put more than 600 Ulta mini-stores inside Target locations, will end in August 2026 when the current agreement expires. The companies said they mutually agreed not to renew the deal, which launched in 2021. With this business venture set to end, Ulta will focus on new growth opportunities, while Target will gain space to focus on operational improvements and refine its retail strategy.

Quick-service chains like Starbucks, Taco Bell, and Potbelly are leaning into secret menus as a low-risk, high-reward strategy to spark buzz, drive app engagement, and crowdsource product innovation. “Secret” is one of the most powerful words in the marketing playbook—it signals exclusivity, discovery, and insider access. For QSRs, secret menus turn that intrigue into action, gamifying loyalty, testing new flavors, and tapping into cultural trends—all without disrupting operations. By inviting fans to co-create, brands get viral traction and fresh product ideas, often using ingredients already in stock. It’s a low-lift, scalable strategy to boost visits and stay relevant in a crowded, fast-moving category.

In this podcast episode, we discuss the difference between a real miss vs. sparking conversation, if there is such a thing as bad press, and what brands should do once a campaign doesn’t land. Listen to the discussion with Vice President of Content and guest host, Suzy Davidkhanian, Principal Analyst, Sky Canaves, and Analyst, Arielle Feger.

Retailers are stretching traditional holiday shopping periods into longer seasons and creating new shopping moments throughout the year, as consumers become more strategic about their spending and retailers seek to drive consistent traffic.

Roughly two-thirds (64%) of Gen Z consumers have cut spending in the past year due to higher living costs, according to an April Ipsos survey for Bank of America.Uncertainty is beginning to shape Gen Z’s purchasing decisions. Brands will need to work harder to earn their dollars—possibly by appealing to the generation’s tendency to shop for emotional relief.

Amazon is expanding same-day delivery for fresh groceries to over 1,000 US cities, with plans to reach 2,300 by late 2025. The rollout integrates perishables into its core app for single-cart checkout alongside other goods, offering Prime members free delivery on orders over $25. Early pilots saw strong adoption, especially from first-time grocery buyers who shopped more frequently after trying fresh food. The move pressures rivals like Walmart, Instacart, and Kroger in a slowing but sizable $271 billion online grocery market. If Amazon can convert trial users into loyal customers, it could reshape expectations for grocery delivery speed and convenience.

Brinker International and Cava Group posted diverging quarterly results, showing the split fortunes in the restaurant industry as consumers eat at home more often and become pickier about where they spend. In the current environment of economic pressure and home-shifted dining, restaurants can stand out from the crowd by making their value clear to cost-conscious consumers. Here’s how underperforming dining chains can improve: Offer value, not just lower prices. Deals like Chili’s “3 for Me” are easy to understand and come across as a genuine bargain. Try limited-time promotions for new items, or lean on nostalgia by resurrecting discontinued items. Invest in operational excellence. Well-trained staff and hospitality can encourage deal seekers to return.

The news: OpenAI’s GPT-5 could be the start of ChatGPT becoming a transaction-driven super app that monetizes user intent, not attention. GPT-5’s router—which analyzes queries and decides how hard to “think” based on complexity—lets OpenAI invest more resources during high-intent moments like “compare hiking boots under $200” or “best smart TVs for co-op gaming.” Prioritizing queries with high commercial value could help OpenAI monetize users not through ads but via affiliate or take-rate revenues, per SemiAnalysis. Partnerships with Shopify and others suggest that monetization stack is already on the way. Our take: A full-service ChatGPT that’s intuitive enough to guide full shopping journeys inside a chatbot while keeping backend costs minimal could rewrite the AI platform’s business model. Brands should be working to optimize for AI-native commerce and integrate with agentic tools.

In today’s episode, ​we talk about the promise and challenges financial media networks face in the burgeoning commerce media network landscape.​ Join the discussion with host and Head of Business Development Rob Rubin, ​Principal Analyst Sarah Marzano, and Senior Analyst Max Willens.

The news: Circle reported $658 million in total revenues and reserve income in its first quarterly earnings as a public company, amounting to 53% growth YoY. USDC in circulation also jumped 90% YoY to 61.3 billion by the end of the quarter. Net losses hit $482 million, which largely accounted for IPO-related non-cash charges totalling $591 million. Our take: Circle’s early mover status and the newly passed GENIUS Act are working in the stablecoin issuer’s favor. Circle anticipates a 40% annual compound growth rate for USDC. If it can establish the most efficient and easy-to-use infrastructure for the nascent stablecoin industry, it can garner lasting loyalty from financial institutions.

The news: Klarna, Affirm, and Zip will be available as autofill payment options through Google Pay on Chrome for cart sizes of $35 or more. Our take: Increasing the ease and availability of a payment method for US consumers can increase volume for BNPL providers and Google.

The news: Revolving consumer credit growth has been negative for two months, per Federal Reserve Board data. Annualized revolving credit growth declined 3.5% in May and 1% in June. A year ago, annualized revolving credit growth stood at 6.15% in May and -0.92% in June. Our take: In the face of uncertainty, consumers are wary of spending unless they feel incentivized to change their behavior, especially as tariff-related pressures increase.

A key inflation gauge that excludes food and energy prices picked up in July, suggesting tariff-related cost increases are being passed along to consumers. Core CPI, which strips out energy and food, rose 3.1% YoY, up from 2.9% in June. On a monthly basis, that closely watched measure rose 0.3%, the highest increase since January and up from June’s 0.2% advance. Retailers and producers are exhausting their early strategies to shield consumers and will need to plan for sustained cost pressures. Some strategies retailers can take on include negotiating with suppliers on cost-cutting measures or the use of lower-cost materials, exploring investments in onshoring production to avoid tariffs, and increasing D2C sales in a bid to improve profit margins.

Quick-service restaurants (QSRs) are no longer seen primarily as budget-friendly dining. Just 14% of consumers view them as a good value, while nearly a quarter (23%) now consider them a treat or reward, per consumer insights platform Zappi. That’s a notable shift for a category long associated with affordability. That helps explain why nearly a third (31%) of US adults have cut back spending on fast food. As inflation erodes fast food’s traditional value proposition, QSRs must sharpen their brand strategy or risk alienating diners. Brands that lean into indulgence and novelty can help position meals as a “treat,” while doubling down on affordability with compelling promotions and budget-friendly meal deals can reengage price-sensitive consumers.

More Amazon Prime shoppers purchase groceries from Walmart than from the ecommerce retailer, according to Coresight Research data reported by Grocery Dive. While grocery is a hugely important category for Amazon to conquer, its efforts so far have been hampered by a complex ecosystem. The retailer’s attempts to unify that system could result in a more seamless experience for shoppers, while its fast delivery capabilities could make it a more appealing place to shop for perishables.

Swiss footwear company On posted raised its full-year sales and gross margin outlook, citing broad-based geographical strength as Gen Z consumers scoop up its premium-priced athletic shoes.

Some students have already started their school year, but the back-to-school shopping season is far from over. In fact, over a third (34%) of families begin their back-to-school shopping in August, according to recent data from ad platform gumgum.

For advertisers, the increasing fragmentation within the search landscape can be quite frustrating and challenging. “But for consumers it feels like ease and convenience," said our analyst Sarah Marzano on a recent episode of "Behind the Numbers." "We're able to conduct product searches wherever we're spending time and go on a journey that's tailored to the mindset we're in."

Target’s protracted slump is hurting employee morale as workers worry the retailer is falling behind. Roughly half of respondents to a companywide survey don’t think Target is making necessary changes to compete effectively, The Wall Street Journal reported, while 40% said they lack confidence in the retailer’s future. After 10 quarters of flat or declining sales, Target is in dire need of a shakeup.