Inflation Trends & Statistics

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Economic turbulence squeezes lower-cost hotel chains

Article
Sep 30, 2025

Budget hotel chains are facing the same turbulence as discount airlines, per Yahoo Finance. Lower-income travelers are pulling back while wealthier consumers trade up to more comfortable stays, pressuring budget hotels. Usually resilient in downturns, these companies face what Bank of America calls “structural” headwinds: lower-income travelers contending with slow income growth, weakening sentiment, and persistent inflation.Companies like Hyatt and Marriott have the cushion of diversified portfolios—and may even pick up business as wealthier travelers trade up. But others, such as Choice Hotels and Wyndham, don’t have that safety net. Their focus on the budget segment makes them more vulnerable, which is why Bank of America downgraded Choice shares to “underperform” from “buy” this week.

Whole Foods looks to shed its ‘Whole Paycheck’ reputation to respond to rising focus on value

Whole Foods looks to shed its ‘Whole Paycheck’ reputation to respond to rising focus on value

Article
Sep 30, 2025

Whole Foods has cut prices on more than a quarter of its products in the past year, including over 1,000 private-label items, its chief merchandising and marketing officer said at Groceryshop, per Modern Retail. Weekly promotions and deals tied to specific days reinforce the value push. The retailer needs to prove that “premium” and “value” aren’t mutually exclusive. By doubling down on price investments, amplifying Prime-member discounts, and leaning into convenient, high-quality prepared foods, the grocer can reframe itself as both aspirational and accessible.

Over half of consumers consider grocery prices a ‘major stress’

Over half of consumers consider grocery prices a ‘major stress’

Article
Sep 17, 2025

Nearly 9 in 10 US adults (88%) are stressed about grocery prices—including 53% who say food costs are a major source of stress—according to a July AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research survey. This news comes as food prices continue to go up. The US Consumer Price Index for food increased 0.5% in August MoM. Grocery prices, as measured by the food-at-home index, rose 0.6% from July and were up 2.7% YoY. Grocery stores may be the most visible flashpoint for consumers’ financial stress, but the ripple effects extend far beyond food. The financial strain is prompting fundamental shifts in how people shop, which all retailers will need to watch closely in the back half of the year.

Rising inflation and a potential rate cut ahead will prompt strategy shifts for banks

Article
Sep 11, 2025

Consumer prices in August rose at a faster pace than in July, while a weak jobs report showed rising unemployment, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This unsavory combination points to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at its September meeting next week. For customers, this is a double-edged sword. On one hand, a rate cut could make borrowing more affordable, potentially lowering the cost of mortgages, auto loans, and credit card debt. This could be a much-needed reprieve for households facing rising prices for everyday goods. On the other hand, savers would lower the interest they earn on savings accounts and certificates of deposit, and banks trying to offer the most competitive rates will be risking higher deposit costs. While lower rates might spur some demand for new loans, the primary impact will be a squeeze on banks’ profitability.

Retail promotions buoyed July sales, but inflation worries are rising

Article
Aug 15, 2025

US retail sales advanced in July as consumers took advantage of major sales events. However, signs are emerging that consumers are becoming more pessimistic as inflation expectations rise. With pressure from rising food prices, higher housing costs, and uncertainty about higher tariffs, consumers remain cost-conscious—and are wary about what’s ahead. Still, it’s clear that they’re willing to spend when they see clear value, providing a roadmap for retailers to capture sales.

Fast food is losing its budget-friendly appeal

Article
Aug 12, 2025

Quick-service restaurants (QSRs) are no longer seen primarily as budget-friendly dining. Just 14% of consumers view them as a good value, while nearly a quarter (23%) now consider them a treat or reward, per consumer insights platform Zappi. That’s a notable shift for a category long associated with affordability. That helps explain why nearly a third (31%) of US adults have cut back spending on fast food. As inflation erodes fast food’s traditional value proposition, QSRs must sharpen their brand strategy or risk alienating diners. Brands that lean into indulgence and novelty can help position meals as a “treat,” while doubling down on affordability with compelling promotions and budget-friendly meal deals can reengage price-sensitive consumers.

Mexico Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Mexico Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Report
Aug 06, 2025

This is the first installment of our annual “Mexico Ad Spending Benchmarks” series, which helps ad buyers and sellers calibrate their spending and revenue mix against the market.

Mexico Total Media Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025​

Mexico Total Media Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025​

Report
Aug 06, 2025

This is the first installment of our “Mexico Ad Spending Benchmarks” series, which helps ad buyers and sellers calibrate their spending and revenue mix against the market.

Rising costs are leading bank customers to lie on applications

Article
Aug 01, 2025

The finding: Up to one-third of US consumers consider lying on credit applications to be acceptable in some situations or normal behavior, potentially fueled by the rising cost of living, per FICO’s 2025 Consumer Survey. Our take: The rise of first-party fraud means FIs can no longer rely solely on self-reported data. By responsibly leveraging a broader range of data points—such as transactional history, rent/mortgage payments, and utility bill data—within compliance guidelines, banks can build a more comprehensive and accurate picture of a customer's financial health and ability to repay.

Brazil Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Brazil Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Report
Jul 31, 2025

This is the first installment of our annual “Brazil Ad Spending Benchmarks” series, which helps ad buyers and sellers calibrate their spending and revenue mix against the market.

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Brazil Total Media Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Brazil Total Media Ad Spending Benchmarks: 2025

Report
Jul 31, 2025

This is the first installment of our “Brazil Ad Spending Benchmarks” series, which helps ad buyers and sellers calibrate their spending and revenue mix against the market.

Holiday Shopping 2025

Holiday Shopping 2025

Report
Jul 30, 2025

Consumer spending will be restrained during the 2025 holiday season as shoppers remain cautious amid ongoing economic uncertainty. That means retail and ecommerce will see the slowest growth since we started tracking the metrics.

Deloitte’s ConsumerSignals reveals challenges ahead for financial institutions

Article
Jul 29, 2025

The findings: Deloitte’s July 2025 ConsumerSignals report gives us a glimpse into US banking customers’ current stressors and banks’ upcoming challenges. We saw that: deposits are about to drop, housing prices stress every generation, consumers are curbing their splurging, and they’re more worried than they were last year. Our take: Though US banking customers are facing a number of stressors, they’re demonstrating resilience and savvy that has helped them pull through. That resilience could be informed by advice from financial experts they trust, including at their FIs.

UK Ecommerce Forecast 2025

UK Ecommerce Forecast 2025

Report
Jul 28, 2025

Ecommerce growth is slowing as the market matures, but gains will come from mobile commerce, Gen Z buyers, and high-performing categories.

Banking customers can’t think long-term because they have more urgent concerns

Article
Jul 25, 2025

The news: We’ve covered banking customer anxieties about inflation, tariff chaos, and broader economic warning signs. Banks have been offering products and advice to help customers plan for the future and strengthen their financial standings. But some financial institutions (FIs) may be failing to address customers’ more pressing financial needs. Our take: For customers showing signs of financial stress, banks must pivot from long-term planning advice to addressing immediate financial survival. This requires delivering highly personalized, practical guidance on urgent concerns like budgeting and debt management. To identify customers in need of help, FIs can analyze their financial health, emergency savings, and how often they nearly or completely empty out their accounts to pay their bills. These steps can prove the FI’s value and build trust in the short term.

June’s CPI report underscores tariffs’ upward pressure on prices

June’s CPI report underscores tariffs’ upward pressure on prices

Article
Jul 15, 2025

The news: Inflation ticked up in June in a sign that companies are beginning to pass on tariff costs to consumers. Our take: June’s CPI data shows the toll tariffs are beginning to take on consumers’ buying power. While real wage growth remains in positive territory for now, that could change quickly once more companies begin to pass on a greater share of tariff costs to consumers, as the vast majority have signaled they’ll do.

Travelers want to cash in points for ready-made vacation packages

Travelers want to cash in points for ready-made vacation packages

Article
Jul 08, 2025

The news: 82% of travelers are interested in using points from non-travel loyalty programs to book trips, per a report from Expedia—including 43% who are extremely interested. Our take: Capturing expensive travel purchases is critical to reinforcing issuers’ card volume as economic anxieties make consumers spend less.

Discount furniture retailers look to buck industry's downturn

Article
Jun 30, 2025

The news: Discount furniture retailers are stepping up their expansion as much of the industry contracts. Our take: Consumers are focusing more on value, and that push could change US perceptions about shopping for furniture—emphasizing value and simplicity over stylish but costly designs

The State of Germany Fashion Ecommerce 2025

The State of Germany Fashion Ecommerce 2025

Report
Jun 30, 2025

Online fashion sales are stable and growing slowly, but they lag wider ecommerce. Consumers are concerned about sustainability, but price is a bigger priority.

Recession fears push brands toward agile, ROI-driven media

Article
Jun 27, 2025

The news: As the 2025 economy tightens under the pressure of tariffs, AI disruption, and shifting global trade policy, brands are embracing adaptability. Retail growth forecasts have been slashed, inflation-wary consumers are scaling back, and even luxury sentiment is weakening. Our take: Resilient brands are leaning into agile planning, reallocating media spend to ROI-focused channels like search and digital out-of-home, and anchoring value in trust and quality—not just price. As emotional volatility shapes consumer decisions, marketers who show relevance and reassurance will lead. The brands that win won’t wait for stability—they’ll build strategies that succeed amid constant change.

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