RaceTrac will acquire sandwich chain Potbelly in a $566 million cash deal expected to close in Q4, with both brands continuing to operate separately. The acquisition boosts RaceTrac’s foodservice offerings at a time when convenience-store meals are driving growth, accounting for nearly 28% of in-store sales in 2024. For Potbelly, going private could accelerate its ambitious plan to expand to 2,000 shops while avoiding public market pressures. The move is a strategic play in the convenience-store foodservice arms race, positioning RaceTrac against competitors like 7-Eleven and Wawa in the battle for meal-focused customers.
Magnum Ice Cream is optimistic about boosting growth and profitability following its planned split from Unilever, projecting 3%–5% organic sales growth from 2026 and steady margin expansion. With a 21% share of the global ice cream market and a €500 million cost-savings initiative, the company is well-positioned to leverage shifting consumer preferences. Magnum plans to appeal to GLP-1 users by marketing its products as calorie-efficient, higher-protein snacks while also reducing sugar and additives. By narrowing its focus, Magnum joins other CPG players in streamlining operations to stay competitive against rising private-label alternatives.
Value-focused grocers are aggressively expanding as cost-conscious consumers seek affordable options, with Aldi set to open 225 US stores in 2025, Trader Joe’s adding 41, and Lidl continuing steady growth in key metro areas. Inflation pressures and lingering COVID-era costs are fueling a surge in private-label demand, which grew 4.4% year over year compared with 1.1% for national brands. These chains’ differentiated private-label strategies are driving above-average foot traffic, underscoring their appeal. The takeaway for competitors is clear: prioritize value while building unique private-label lines that strengthen margins and deepen customer loyalty.
AI means something different to every retailer—and their level of adoption reflects that range.
Old Navy is venturing deeper into beauty. The Gap Inc. unit will begin selling its own branded beauty products this fall, alongside an expanded selection of items from brands like e.l.f. and Mario Badescu, per The Wall Street Journal. Old Navy’s beauty expansion is a bold bet, given the enormous number of brands already in the market and the increasing ranks of retailers hoping to benefit from resilient beauty demand.
From Rare Beauty’s scented billboards and Walmart’s truck tours to Dick’s Sporting Goods’ in-house production studios, here’s what the eight most interesting retailers from August have been up to, as ranked on our “Behind the Numbers” podcast.
Kraft Heinz will split into two companies, spinning off its slower-growing grocery unit—home to Oscar Mayer, Kraft Singles, and Lunchables. The remaining business will focus on faster-growing products such as Heinz ketchup, Philadelphia cream cheese, and Kraft Mac & Cheese, along with its sauces and condiments. Kraft Heinz’s breakup shows the risks of CPG megamergers, especially given how quickly consumers’ tastes can change. Once prominent brands like Lunchables and Kraft Singles are rapidly losing value as more shoppers avoid ultra-processed foods and artificial dyes, while the company’s bloat has made it challenging to stay current with food trends.
The news: McDonald’s will reintroduce Extra Value Meals on September 8. The combo meals will deliver about 15% savings compared with buying items separately. Our take: While McDonald’s delivered better-than-expected results in Q2, including 2.5% same-store sales growth, most of its gains came from higher prices. To build momentum, the brand must shift consumer perception, not just raise prices. Bringing back the Extra Value Meal is a step in that direction.
Consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies are in turmoil as shifting food trends, cuts to government benefits, and inflation challenge their share of grocery spending, while organizational headwinds compound the pressures. The strain is forcing bold actions and inviting scrutiny. Kraft Heinz’s breakup makes clear that size and brand recognition alone are not enough to ensure consistent growth—even for a company whose portfolio contains such household staples as Kraft Mac & Cheese and Heinz ketchup. While cost cutting is paramount as tariffs add millions to companies’ operating costs, CPGs must balance efficiencies with product innovation to recover some of the sales lost to private labels.
The news: Modelo Especial and Corona maker Constellation Brands cut its full-year forecast, blaming weak consumer demand in a difficult macroeconomic environment. The slowdown has been most pronounced among its core Hispanic demographic, who are cutting back on high-end beer. Our take: At the start of the year, Hispanic consumers looked like a growth engine—they accounted for one-fifth of the US population, $2.8 trillion in purchasing power, and outsize influence in categories from consumer packaged goods to food and beverage. But the Trump administration’s tariffs and mass deportations have chilled this momentum, with roughly 1 in 5 (21% of) Hispanic consumers report having felt unsafe in their local market due to their ethnicity, per The Asian American Foundation. Companies that banked heavily on Hispanic spending may now find that bet falling short.
US beauty shoppers are becoming more price conscious, even as overall spending continues to increase. The lipstick effect may have lost some of its punch, but it continues to support steady beauty sales. We expect US cosmetics and beauty sales to grow a relatively sedate 2.4% this year on strength in the hair and skincare categories.
The news: Keurig Dr Pepper will acquire JDE Peet’s for €15.7 billion ($18.4 billion) to revive its struggling coffee arm before splitting into two public companies. The deal will create a coffee powerhouse by merging KDP with JDE Peet’s global brands that include Peet’s, L’OR, Jacobs, and Douwe Egberts.
Aldi will open a store in New York City’s Times Square next year as part of its aggressive expansion strategy, per media reports. The 25,000-square-foot shop will be located in The Ellery, a new luxury apartment building near the edge of the highly-trafficked neighborhood—making clear the discount grocer’s intentions of wooing more affluent shoppers as it grows its presence in major US cities.
Louis Vuitton’s forthcoming beauty launch will test its pricing power. The brand is betting that premium packaging and high-quality products designed by makeup maven Pat McGrath will convince shoppers to spend $160 on a single lipstick—a risky assumption given the headwinds plaguing the luxury industry. In order for La Beauté Louis Vuitton to succeed, the brand will have to prove to customers that its products are worth the hefty price tag. That’s easier said than done, given waning enthusiasm for premium beauty and the growing popularity of low-cost dupes.
Estée Lauder posted a wider quarterly loss as sales slumped and warned that tariffs could reduce earnings by about $100 million over the next year. Estée Lauder is taking necessary steps to turn around its business—focusing on product innovation, cutting costs, and broadening its customer reach—but it will be tough given intense competition in the beauty market. With key rival L’Oreal gaining US momentum and newer brands emerging, Estée Lauder must accelerate product innovation, reduce reliance on discounting, rebuild momentum in China, and take other steps to win new customers, or risk ceding more ground in the longer term.
The finding: More than 1 in 3 Americans (36%) name alcohol as their go‑to restaurant drink, just ahead of soda (29%) and water (21%), per a July Harris Poll. Nearly 70% of recent diners ordered at least one alcoholic beverage, per Harris. Our take: Alcohol remains a top choice, but nonalcoholic options command the bulk of orders. Restaurants should tailor their beverage programs by guest profile and occasion—showcasing premium, adult‑centric cocktails for millennials and Gen X, while expanding on‑trend, flavorful NA and low‑ABV offerings to engage Gen Z and health‑conscious diners.
Execution missteps remain a stubborn issue in grocery retail. Nearly half (48%) of shoppers have encountered pricing mismatches or promotional errors at checkout—a frequent frustration that quietly undermines trust, per a consumer survey commissioned by store intelligence provider Simbe. At a time when brand loyalty is waning, strong execution and a seamless in-store experience can be a powerful competitive advantage.
After beauty's social return on ad spend (ROAS) dipped to $1.90 in Q4 2024, the category saw a marked jump up to $3.50 in Q1 2025, according to a March report from Cart.com.