The news: Klarna, Affirm, and Zip will be available as autofill payment options through Google Pay on Chrome for cart sizes of $35 or more. Our take: Increasing the ease and availability of a payment method for US consumers can increase volume for BNPL providers and Google.
The news: Block’s gross profit rose to $2.54 billion, an increase of 14% YoY. Cash App’s gross profit grew 16% YoY Square’s gross profit increased 11% YoY Developments like Cash App Afterpay are gradually drawing the distinct Cash App and Square ecosystems into a robust dual-sided network. However, the Cash App’s enduring lack of a credit card makes it harder for Block to sell itself as the one-stop shop for young people’s financial needs.
The news: Marqeta’s total processing volume (TPV) hit $91 billion in Q2, a 29% YoY increase. Our take: Marqeta’s success with buy now, pay later could help it finally wean off its dependence on Block, which still accounts for 46% of its business. With planned expansions into Europe, Marqeta has the opportunity to put more distance between it and its competitors by leaning into solutions for alternate financing and currencies, like BNPL and crypto.
The news: Klarna and Afterpay will not share the majority of their consumers’ loan information with credit bureaus until they can receive confirmation that their customers will not be penalized for seeking buy now, pay later (BNPL) plans. Our take: Affirm’s early plunge into credit reporting has been blunted against its competitors’ refusal to participate in the system, but it still takes the reputational lead in terms of being a “trustworthy” provider.
The news: Klarna might push its IPO date up as late as September, per a report from Bloomberg. Our take: Whenever Klarna schedules its IPO, it can bank on the strength of its partnerships—like DoorDash, Walmart, Stripe, and Walmart—to sustain its growth. Fintechs have faced a tough environment for IPOs ever since the high-water mark of 2021. Firms are now required to demonstrate better pathways to profitability before going public. However, despite tariffs and geopolitical disturbances, fintechs have the ability to outperform expectations: Take Circle’s blockbuster IPO back in June. With investors hungry for AI-focused companies, Klarna may be well positioned to ride the wave of its peers’ earlier success in the market.
Payment processing solutions from major US digital commerce platforms are maturing and capturing a greater share of their retail ecommerce sales. Here’s how five platforms are approaching the payment facilitator (payfac) model to catapult their growth.
The news: Google Pay added Klarna to its in-app BNPL roster of Affirm, Zip, and Afterpay. Our take: Klarna’s late adoption of a physical card like Affirm’s Affirm Card in the US set the BNPL provider back in terms of capturing a wider user base and payment volume. Integrations like Google Pay and Apple Pay can help overcome that gap—though Affirm also has partnerships with both Google Pay and Apple Pay.
Grocery delivery intermediaries like DoorDash and Uber are gaining ground, offering new ways to reach high-intent shoppers. Meanwhile, retailers like Walmart and Amazon continue to lead with strong delivery infrastructure and valuable customer data.
The news: Klarna partnered with Nift, a gift platform, to offer “gift”-style rewards for customers’ BNPL purchases. Our take: Until they can close that gap, BNPL players will struggle to attract a meaningful share of shoppers. It’s one reason we forecast BNPL user growth will slow every year through 2029.
The news: US inflation ticked up 0.1% last month and 2.4% YoY, a softer read than many economists expected but one that kept the pressure on consumers already dealing with a higher cost of living. Our take: Retailers, especially grocers and discounters, can set themselves apart by helping consumers save money and be more financially responsible. Offering digital coupons, using in-store signage spotlighting sales on daily essentials, and rewarding loyal shoppers for repeat purchases can foster smarter spending.
The ease and novelty of BNPL loans can rapidly snowball into a crisis for already financially fragile consumers.
Italy’s digital landscape is evolving fast, driven by shifting consumer and media habits and increasing ecommerce adoption. Recent data reveals the trends shaping digital spending, retail sales, and more.
Shifting consumer preference toward fixed installments shows how BNPL can compete with credit cards’ incentives.
Partnerships and AI adoption powered the BNPL company’s lead over competitors.
The global payments industry will be a $2.3 trillion revenue opportunity in 2028. But shifting business models, new technologies, and alternative payment methods are changing how key card players compete for a share of this revenue.
Partnerships are key to breaking into brick and mortar, but generational mattress-shopping divides could mute the deal’s effectiveness.
The partnership highlights the importance of individual merchant deals and larger platform tie-ups
The BNPL provider pushed the Affirm Card and notched new partnerships to stay ahead of competition.
Gen Zers are most likely to experience a problem with the payment method. These concerns could weaken BNPL transaction growth
To compete, fintech still must measure up against regulated and consumer-favorite card-linked installment plans.
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