In 2023, 58.5% of Meta’s $121.90 billion of ad revenues worldwide will come from Facebook, per our forecast. The remaining 41.5% will come from Instagram, whose ad revenues are growing faster than Facebook’s, which will decline in 2022. For the next two years, Instagram will continue to outpace Facebook by this measure.

While most US consumers are more likely to buy from brands with good loyalty programs, according to Bond, 58% of those ages 18 and older told Dynata they’re less loyal to brands due to rising costs. And 65% of consumers had recently canceled memberships to cut costs as of Q1 2022, per PYMNTS.com and sticky.io.

Privacy is the top challenge of data clean rooms, cited by nearly half of marketers and publishers worldwide who use them, per Lotame. For 41% of marketers and 37% of publishers, the tech is too expensive. Other concerns include issues with emails, scale, and partner overlap.

We cut $5.51 billion from our US digital ad spending forecast for 2023, due to the fallout from Apple’s privacy changes, Google’s deprecation of third-party cookies, and a stricter regulatory environment. Along with inflation and a potential recession, these challenges will depress spending until 2025, when it should return to previously projected levels.

Amazon will account for 38.2% of all US ecommerce sales this year, per our estimates. In addition to dominating the books, music, and video category, Amazon will capture 50.3% of computer and consumer electronics ecommerce sales and 47.0% of office equipment and supplies ecommerce sales in the US.

Our latest forecast shows the global monthly Twitter user base will shrink 3.9% next year and 5.1% in 2024. “Users will start to leave the platform next year as they grow frustrated with technical issues and the proliferation of hateful or other unsavory content,” said our principal analyst Jasmine Enberg.

Time spent with cable and broadcast TV is decreasing, a trend that’s been particularly pronounced over the past year. Streaming accounted for 36.9% of US time spent with TV as of September 2022, up from 27.7% in the same month in 2021, according to Nielsen. Streaming stole share from all other TV categories.

In a first, 62.1% of adults in the US will use mobile banking, surpassing the 61.5% who will use in-branch banking, per our forecast. This is a marked shift from 10 years ago, when 78.8% of adults used bank branches and 18.6% used mobile.

Nearly half (47%) of marketers worldwide would spend more on connected TV (CTV) advertising if they had access to higher-quality targeting data, according to Lotame. Meanwhile, 36% are looking for a more efficient buying or planning process.

For holiday shopping, 56% of US consumers prefer online-only retailers, and 49% favor mass merchants, according to Deloitte. Off-price retailers rank No. 3 on this list, nearly tied with the remaining four retail formats.

Google Topics, the company’s alternative to third-party cookies, saw a 71% year-over-year increase in testing by marketers and publishers worldwide as of September, the strongest growth among the identity solutions evaluated by Lotame. Testing of authenticated, email-based solutions increased by 67%.

Ultrafast delivery app downloads exploded worldwide during the pandemic. The top 10 apps in this space were downloaded 23.1 million times collectively in Q1 2022, according to Apptopia. Getir leads by a wide margin, ahead of rivals like Gopuff and Gorillas.

Google Assistant is the most popular voice assistant in the US, followed by Apple’s Siri and Amazon’s Alexa, per our estimates. Come 2024, 88.8 million people will use Google Assistant, 84.2 million will use Siri, and 75.6 million will use Alexa.

Close to a third of US adults don’t like anything about in-store holiday shopping, according to CivicScience. Meanwhile, for more than a fifth, experiencing the products is the biggest appeal. About the same share most enjoy the holiday music, decor, and displays, while 17% are after in-store deals.

Worldwide, head-worn augmented reality (AR) revenues will hit $35.06 billion in 2026, up from $3.78 billion this year, according to ARtillery Intelligence. These revenues include spending on everything from devices to content.

Global digital video ad revenues will top $360 billion in 2027, according to Omdia. That’s up more than $170 billion from this year. By contrast, video subscription revenues will rise about $30 billion over that period and remain below $120 billion in 2027.

The Cyber Five will not see much US sales growth from last year. Cyber Monday will be the biggest day of this promotional period with ecommerce sales growing 3.8% year over year to $11.84 billion.

More than 40% of internet users in North America will be monthly podcast listeners by the end of this year, the highest rate of any region. Western Europe and Latin America follow with nearly 30% penetration among their online populations.

Some 40 million people will use Klarna in the US next year, marking a 15.6% increase for the buy now, pay later (BNPL) service. Over the coming years, growth will slip into the single digits, a far cry from the 115.0% surge back in 2020.

Next year, US connected TV (CTV) ad spend will hit $26.92 billion. This market has grown by double digits each year since we began tracking it in 2017, and it will continue to do so through the end of our forecast period in 2026.