Pinterest is piloting a new shoppable recipe format with Walmart’s help. Select recipes now feature a “Shop Ingredients” button that lets users add ingredients directly to their Walmart carts. The pilot fits squarely with Pinterest’s broader goal to make every pin on its platform shoppable, a strategy designed to fully monetize its influence over product discovery and shopping trends. It also fits with Walmart's aim to establish a presence on as many shopping channels as possible, be it social commerce or ChatGPT.

Grocery prices continue to climb amid low crop yields, geopolitical shocks, supply-chain issues, and new tariffs, leaving middle- and low-income consumers struggling as wages lag inflation. Student loan borrowers are feeling particular strain, with many reporting difficulty affording basic necessities. President Trump has responded with executive orders exempting some foods from tariffs and directing investigations into potential foreign price-fixing, though these steps are unlikely to offer quick relief. With nearly half of Americans saying the cost of living is the worst they can remember and holiday spending plans dropping sharply, consumers remain cautious heading into next year.

Instacart has become the first grocery partner to launch a dedicated app within ChatGPT, enabling users to shop by prompting the assistant and then building a cart powered by Instacart’s catalog and OpenAI models. After signing in, customers can review selections and pay securely via Instant Checkout, with orders fulfilled through Instacart’s network. The move reinforces Instacart’s leadership in US grocery delivery and gives it an early chance to shape AI-enabled shopping behavior. If consumers embrace the feature, its ability to learn preferences and streamline reorders could meaningfully reduce friction and nudge more shoppers toward online grocery buying.

L’Oréal is doubling its stake in cosmetic injectables company Galderma to 20%, the company said, as it looks to expand in the fast-growing aesthetics market and support growth amid global headwinds. While some competitors retrench, L’Oréal is pursuing acquisitions in categories like fragrance and haircare with the strongest growth potential. L'Oréal's moves reflect the shifts in consumer beauty spending. Resilient demand for self-care, wellness, and premium products is fueling growth in fragrances and haircare, while K-beauty is gaining traction as consumers search for affordable and effective skincare products.

Softening consumer confidence hasn’t dented beauty demand, according to executives from Ulta Beauty and Estée Lauder. Engagement with the category “remained healthy in Q3,” Ulta CEO Kecia Steelman said, noting that sales rose across both mass and prestige products. The US consumer is “resilient,” Estée Lauder CEO Stephane de la Faverie said, though he acknowledged signs of price sensitivity. The strength isn’t isolated to Estée Lauder and Ulta: Beauty sales accelerated in Q3, according to Circana, showing that shoppers are prioritizing self-care amid uncertainty. However, while shoppers are keen to buy, they are managing their budgets and focusing on value.

Gap’s new AI chatbot was quickly coaxed into discussing intimacy products and other off-limits topics after launch, revealing a misconfiguration in the guardrails set by its AI partner Sierra, according to The Information. Sierra said a bad actor attempted to jailbreak more than a dozen client agents, and Gap’s was the only one that slipped past detection due to the setup error, which has since been fixed. The incident underscores how easily brand safety can be compromised when safeguards aren’t airtight, highlighting the need for companies to rigorously vet vendors and ensure robust protections before deploying AI tools.

Amazon, Target, and Walmart are stepping up their holiday fulfillment efforts to reassure late shoppers that gifts will arrive before Christmas. Amazon is adding clear “Arrives before Christmas” messaging and enabling delivery or pickup on many items through Christmas Eve, while Target is extending store hours and leaning on rapid curbside, in-store pickup, and same-day delivery. Walmart is expected to match or exceed last year’s Christmas Eve express cutoffs. These moves highlight how crucial last-minute reliability has become, as faster delivery speeds increasingly shape where shoppers spend and give retailers with strong fulfillment networks a powerful competitive edge.

A growing number of high-end and mass-market brands are thriving even as they reduce promotions to protect margins and strengthen brand equity. Victoria’s Secret delivered its strongest sales growth in four years through more targeted discounting, while On Holding and Ralph Lauren posted standout revenue and EPS gains by preserving premium pricing and elevating brand perception. The trend extends beyond retail: although Cava recently cut its sales outlook, it is still avoiding discounts to protect a value proposition rooted in quality and experience. Together, these strategies reflect a shift away from competing primarily on price.

Amazon remains in negotiations to extend its USPS partnership but is reassessing its delivery strategy after learning the Postal Service may hold a reverse auction that would require major shippers to bid for facility access. The unexpected shift injects uncertainty into Amazon’s network at a time when it is rapidly expanding Amazon Logistics and investing heavily in rural delivery. Because Amazon accounts for a sizable share of USPS revenue, a split would significantly strain the agency and could accelerate Amazon’s rise as a competing carrier, reshaping how retailers meet growing consumer expectations for fast, reliable delivery.

Dollar and discount retailers are gaining share as low prices draw more middle- and high-income shoppers. Dollar Tree added 3 million households to its customer count in Q3, most earning over $100,000, while Dollar General saw higher-income customer growth and broader market-share gains. Five Below’s strong Q3 comps reflected new shoppers and bigger baskets. All three raised full-year outlooks. But much of their growth stems from higher prices, not traffic, and core low-income shoppers remain strained. To sustain momentum, retailers must improve store experience and appearance, ensure pricing accuracy, and invest in convenience through delivery partnerships.

Kroger lowered the top end of its full-year sales outlook as rising price sensitivity among lower- and middle-income shoppers weighs on spending. Consumers’ growing focus on value is leading to more trips, smaller baskets, and greater reliance on promotions and private labels. These patterns are driving Kroger to intensify price cuts and promotions to keep shoppers from trading down.

US employers have announced over 1.1 million job cuts this year, the most since 2020 and a 54% increase YoY, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The report, alongside similarly soft numbers from ADP, is unlikely to stem the decline in US consumer confidence. While the end of the government shutdown eased some anxieties, households remain concerned about the weakening labor market and rising inflation. These concerns could weigh on holiday spending by pushing shoppers to reduce their budgets and prioritize essentials.

American Eagle’s Sydney Sweeney and Travis Kelce campaigns helped get eyes on the brand but failed to deliver the sales lift analysts were expecting. The two campaigns combined generated over 44 billion impressions, but comparable sales for the American Eagle brand rose just 1% YoY in the quarter, missing expectations for 2.1% growth. Ultimately, American Eagle’s record Q3 revenues owed less to the high-visibility Sweeney ad and more to strong execution at its Aerie brand, where comparable sales rose 11%. While buzzy celebrity-led campaigns can help restore brand relevance, their impact will be fleeting if companies’ merchandising and product availability fall short.

San Francisco’s city attorney sued 10 major foodmakers, including Kraft Heinz, PepsiCo, and Mondelez, over their production and marketing of ultraprocessed foods. This marks the first governmental lawsuit over ultraprocessed products, escalating the regulatory and public pressure food companies face to cut additives and make their assortments healthier. Foodmakers will need to change their manufacturing and marketing practices as public opinion turns against ultraprocessed foods and governments—both local and federal—begin to exert more pressure.

Midmarket department stores entered the holiday season with surprising momentum after strong Q3 results, prompting Macy’s, Kohl’s, and Dillard’s to raise their outlooks. But the improvement comes amid a strained consumer environment as low- and middle-income shoppers remain cautious. Softer Black Friday traffic and growing shifts toward off-price chains signal ongoing pressure. The results suggest that despite signs of progress, these retailers must sharpen their value proposition to compete more effectively for value-seeking consumers in the months ahead.

TikTok Shop’s US GMV exceeded $500 million from Black Friday through Cyber Monday, fueled by a nearly 50% jump in shoppers and rapid momentum in livestream commerce. Brands and sellers using livestreams saw 84% sales growth as viewers engaged with more than 760,000 sessions generating 1.6 billion views, a trend amplified by major influencers like Kim Kardashian. Other platforms, including Whatnot, also posted strong holiday results, signaling growing comfort with live buying. The data points to TikTok Shop’s accelerating scale and suggests it is well positioned to capture a larger share of holiday spending as more major brands join the platform.

Amazon is testing ultra-fast delivery for fresh groceries and other household essentials in some areas of Seattle and Philadelphia. The service, called Amazon Now, allows shoppers in eligible neighborhoods to receive thousands of items in 30 minutes or less. While Amazon continues to invest in its brick-and-mortar grocery business, enhancing its ecommerce initiatives appears to be taking precedence. Speeding up delivery could help Amazon extend its foothold in grocery while keeping shoppers wedded to its platform, but our forecast expects its share of digital grocery sales to dip as Walmart, pure-play grocers, and intermediary delivery platforms grow their piece of the pie.

Costco has filed suit against the Trump administration to secure the right to a full refund of the IEEPA tariffs it paid this year, tying its claim to a pending Supreme Court ruling on whether Trump had authority to impose the duties. The company also seeks to pause tariff collection as the case unfolds, citing a December 15 liquidation deadline that could make the payments unrecoverable. With businesses stuck in prolonged uncertainty and others filing similar protective suits, Costco is taking a pragmatic, defensive step to shield itself from a costly legal limbo.

Shein and Temu are under intensifying global scrutiny as US, European, and Chinese authorities tighten oversight of Chinese-affiliated ecommerce platforms. Texas is investigating Shein over forced labor and safety concerns, while Sen. Tom Cotton is urging a federal probe into IP theft at both companies. The pressure extends abroad, with Shein’s French marketplace suspended and China demanding sales data to combat tax evasion. With de minimis advantages eroding and consumer trust wavering, these platforms must strengthen marketplace quality and local partnerships to remain competitive amid rising regulatory risk.

Cyber Monday generated a record $14.25 billion in US online sales, rising 7.1% year over year and slightly surpassing expectations despite a Shopify outage. Strong momentum carried through the Cyber Five period, highlighted by a 9.1% Black Friday jump, while inflation steered shoppers toward categories like electronics, apparel, and furniture. BNPL usage hit an all-time high with $1.03 billion in spending, and mobile devices drove most purchases at 57.5%. The season’s performance underscores resilient demand but also a more price-sensitive consumer increasingly reliant on value and flexible payment options.