Advertising reacts to the uncertain economy: Ad spending will remain strong this year, but the challenges ahead are many.

Several forces are driving up costs per thousand on both linear and connected TV. On the linear side, audience levels have dropped at a faster rate than ad spending, so more dollars are chasing fewer viewers.

Advertising uncertainty just got worse: A report found that 17% of ads on CTV devices air while TVs are off, costing advertisers $1 billion.

US linear TV ad spending will hit $68.35 billion this year and fall to $64.94 billion in 2026. Despite that decline, ad spending on linear and connected TV (CTV) combined will increase from $87.24 billion this year to more than $100 billion in 2026 due to the surge in CTV viewing.

US TV ad spending will decline from next year through 2026 except for a slight uptick in 2024. At the same time, connected TV ad spending will grow at double-digit annual rates, more than offsetting the losses on the traditional side.

On today's episode, we discuss the current diagnosis of Netflix—are their best days behind them, what will they need to do to keep the competition at bay, and what should we make of the rumored acquisition of Roku. "In Other News," we talk about YouTube making it easier to interact with the app on connected TVs (CTVs) and the prospect of its new frequency-capping solution. Tune in to the discussion with our analyst Ross Benes.

This year, 57% of US video ad spending will go to linear TV, a decline from 62% in 2021 and 71% in 2020. By comparison, ad spend share is increasing for connected TV (CTV) and other digital formats such as social video.

Upfront spending is flowing toward streaming services. Upfront CTV ad spending will grow by 34.6% to $6.41 billion this year. For context, that’s about how much we had predicted in our inaugural forecast would be spent on total CTV advertising in 2019.

The average US adult will spend more time watching digital video than TV in 2024, marking a victory for connected viewing in the streaming revolution. Daily time spent with TV will fall below 3 hours next year, down more than 1 hour, 30 minutes over the course of a decade.

While traditional TV ad spending will struggle for growth in the coming years, digital video will not. A portion of digital video spend will go to the nascent CTV space, but traditional broadcasters are also developing their own streaming services (with BVOD ad spend rising at a far faster rate than traditional TV spend). Overall, the advertising opportunity for CTV remains small.

US advertisers are dedicating more of their display budgets to digital video as social video and CTV advertising climb to new heights.

Much of the money exiting linear TV won’t go very far, partly because many Americans are shifting their behavior from one content source to another while using the same device.

Rapidly shifting customer expectations, disruption from new entrants, and new risks and coverage needs threaten to turn the property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry on its head. But insurers that digitally transform can come out on top.

After two years of booming business for tech and media, the industries are now facing a wave of cost-cutting measures like layoffs and shutdowns that signal a focus on profitability but could harm companies’ reputation with prospective employees in an already-tight labor market.

Digital ad spending is exploding in Latin America. It will grow by 34.8% this year to $20.86 billion—a figure more than double the amount spent in 2020. Mobile will be the main growth driver, propelling the region’s digital ad market to new heights over the course of our forecast period.

Rising costs and economic uncertainty are contributing to a reconsideration of streaming’s future. Streaming services are under pressure to attract consumers and retain them, all while inching toward profitability.

The UK digital ad market is thriving. It will grow 11.9% this year, reaching £25.84 billion ($35.54 billion). Video will be a big contributor to this growth, as will social network spending, which is being disrupted by the likes of TikTok.

US average time spent with digital will hit 8 hours and 14 minutes per day in 2022 after first crossing the 8-hour mark last year. That 1.9% increase isn't as big as in past pandemic years, but it's still eating up a bigger share of overall time spent with media.

How should businesses view these global trends and events? How are behaviors and spending changing? In this report, Insider Intelligence analysts weigh in on the questions they’re being asked by both clients and the media about the shifting landscape in key areas like digital advertising, retail and ecommerce, and financial services.

As the US streaming market matures, the companies that make TV are expanding their purview. This can mean a lot of things, including moving into the hardware space, moving away from the hardware space, taking ownership of ad platforms, and extending coverage locally and internationally.