Programmatic will account for more than 9 in 10 display ad dollars this year. How it fares as the last legacy identifiers die out will make or break the future of digital advertising.

Sam’s Club’s rich collection of first-party data provides advertisers with insight into members’ shopping and purchase behaviors. This near real-time visibility, powered by Sam’s Club Member Access Platform (MAP), allows advertisers to meaningfully engage members along their shopping journey with content and offers that align with their interests.

On today's podcast episode, our contestants compete in The Great Behind the Numbers Take Off, 2024 advertising trends edition, where they will try and cook up the most interesting predictions for the coming year. They'll discuss how the media will go to war with generative AI (genAI), why the programmatic ad pendulum will swing toward quality, and a perfect digital media storm thats brewing for brands. Tune in to the discussion with our vice president of content Paul Verna and analysts Evelyn Mitchell-Wolf and Max Willens.

The past decade saw programmatic ads diversify and become more mobile-dominated. Looking ahead, our analysts believe technology will continue to influence the programmatic ad channel. Addressability, driven by the impending demise of third-party cookies, will drive a surge in alternative identity solutions; ad tech will face consolidation fueled by demands for transparency and control; and AI will open advanced targeting and measurement capabilities.

Mobile ad units will capture 70.6% of US programmatic digital display ad spend in 2023, up from its 39.3% share in 2013, according to our April 2023 forecast. Over the last 10 years, mobile has stolen share from desktops and laptops, which now only claim 12.9% of US programmatic digital display ad spend, compared with its 60.7% share in 2013.

Ad spending growth is tapering off, but major changes are coming to the market, including the deprecation of third-party identifiers, a new era in TV ad measurement, and growing use of AI in advertising.

The cookie will finally crumble in 2024, forcing advertising stakeholders to embrace privacy-preserving targeting and measurement alternatives.

Next year, US podcast ad spend will pass the $2 billion mark, according to our forecast. We project double-digit growth through the end of our forecast period in 2027. New data from the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) finds that podcast ads are trending toward brand awareness, with increasing emphasis on video formats.

US walled garden programmatic digital display advertising will cross the $100 billion mark next year, according to our forecast.

In 2023, we predict that walled gardens will lose share of total programmatic digital display ad spending for the first time since 2017, when we first began forecasting this segment, according to our Programmatic Ad Spending Forecast Q3 2023 report.

Programmatic digital display is no exception to the ad spending downturn that has sent ripples through our forecast. As marketers scrutinize their investments, social networks are losing share of the programmatic pie while CTV and retail media drive growth.

Attention metrics are moving beyond consumer research into programmatic bidding strategies. But a lack of measurement standards is preventing mainstream adoption, even as AI-generated content threatens to upend engagement rates.

Programmatic advertising digital display ad spend will make up 90% of digital display ad spend in the US this year, and that share is growing, according to our forecast. Most of the $132.96 billion in spend will go to video, but non-video ads still make up a large portion. Here are five charts summarizing where programmatic ad spend is headed and the identity challenges it faces right now.

While advertising areas like connected TV and retail media boast strong potential, other channels, like social media and linear TV, are losing some steam. That’s why it’s important to explore other ad channels. For example, digital out-of-home advertising has made technological and creative leaps in the past few years, while the women’s sports ad opportunity is expanding. Here are some areas within digital advertising where you may be missing out on unlocking potential.

National CineMedia (NCM) announced Monday that it will sell movie screen inventory programmatically starting in Q4 of this year. Most US programmatic display ad spend growth comes from video, which will grow 30.2% between 2023 and 2025 for a total of $96.98 billion, per our forecast. NCM wants in on that growth.

US programmatic video ad spend will grow $22.51 billion between 2023 and 2025, a 30.2% increase, according to our forecast.

Bloomberg’s ad strategy has lessons for struggling publishers: The news outlet pivoted from third-party programmatic ads in January and has seen its CPMs jump 20%.

Disintermediation is getting real, upfront advertisers want their programmatic CTV spending accounted for, and Google shares early results from the Privacy Sandbox.

Search is positioned to be generative AI’s first major consumer-facing playground. This is unexplored territory, and advertisers are bracing for big changes.

Generative AI is poised to reshape the search advertising market. With a significant first-mover advantage, will Microsoft grow its share of search ad budgets? How can advertisers stay ahead of the curve?