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Yum Brands falls short of expectations in Q2

The news: Yum Brands Q2 earnings and revenues fell short of analysts’ expectations despite YoY growth.

The key metrics:

  • Adjusted earnings per share rose 6.7% YoY to $1.44, missing the expected $1.46.
  • Revenues climbed 9.6% to $1.93 billion, just shy of the $1.94 billion estimate.
  • Same-store sales rose 2%.

Zooming in: Economic pressure continues to weigh on Yum’s individual banners—even as the company attempts to sharpen its value proposition.

  • KFC’s US same-store sales fell 5% as its value-focused offerings such as the $7 Dunk It Bucket fell flat. That deal drew backlash from customers who felt the portions didn’t match the price.
  • Taco Bell US same-store sales rose 4%, a deceleration from 5% growth a year ago.
  • Pizza Hut US sales dropped 5%, which CEO David Gibbs attributed to an “insufficient value message” the brand is now working to correct.

Our take: Consumers haven’t stopped dining out, but they are getting choosier. Rising costs, tariff concerns, and labor market unease are prompting diners to seek more value from each visit, taking a bite out of nearly every major QSR chain’s results.

Yum has rolled out a slate of value meals to maintain traffic, but the mixed results suggest it hasn’t cracked the code. Even Taco Bell’s $5 Cravings Boxes weren’t enough to hold growth. In a market this cautious, the right price tag alone isn’t always enough.

However, even in tough conditions, consumers continue to splurge on vibrant, indulgent beverages loaded with bold flavors, bright colors, and plenty of sugar and caffeine. Taco Bell is leaning into that demand through its Live Más Café concept, using high-margin drinks to drive traffic and boost ticket sizes even as inflation-weary diners pull back elsewhere.

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