Weight loss hype pushed Lilly well ahead of Novo, yet Novo’s early pill win signals a turn toward more affordable, convenient obesity treatments.
The riff on Apple’s Mac versus PC campaign lightens the pharma tone while also leaning more into disclosures.
Weight and health improvements vanish within two years without sustained use, new research finds.
As more Americans take weight loss drugs, eating, shopping, and healthcare expectations are all evolving
The Trump administration announced lower Medicare prices for 15 prescription drugs via the Medicare drug price negotiation program. The new prices will take effect starting January 1, 2027. The biggest hit will fall on pharma companies with drugs selected in both rounds of Medicare negotiations. Revenue impacts will vary depending on each product’s time on the market and how far the negotiated price falls below prior net sales after rebates and discounts. For the government, savings on these drugs will be significant, but broader program savings won’t materialize until far more than 25 drugs see price cuts.
Eli Lilly became the first healthcare or pharma company to reach a $1 trillion valuation. Pharma’s entry into “the trillion-dollar club” is largely driven by success in the obesity treatment category that’s poised to reshape consumer health and wellness. However, Lilly’s particular rapid growth signals that while first-mover advantage in a high-demand disease area matters, it doesn’t guarantee staying on top. Pharma manufacturers can make up for not being first by committing to innovative drug development that drives more efficacious products, pursuing new clinical indications, and correctly anticipating market developments that may impact supply and demand.
Novo Nordisk is dropping the cash-pay price of its blockbuster GLP-1 drugs Wegovy and Ozempic from $499 per month to $349 for existing patients. Novo is betting on lower prices to lure some patients away from Zepbound. However, Lilly’s D2C strategy for Zepbound is working—the drugmaker said that about 35% of new Zepbound prescriptions are from the self-pay channel. It’s a signal that most patients who are prescribed Zepbound aren’t asking to switch to Wegovy. That could shift if the price gap between the two drugs widens.
Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly struck a deal with the Trump administration to lower GLP-1 prices in exchange for expanded Medicare and Medicaid coverage. It’s by far the most consequential pharma agreement to date For Novo and Lilly, it’s a tradeoff: lower prices for higher patient and prescription volume—a bet that should pay off over time, especially since tariff relief is part of the deal.
Between 2022 and 2024, Novo Nordisk spent about $7.5 million to have Ozempic ads run on related search keywords to drive users to its prescription drug brand website, according to a JAMA Network Open study. Novo spent the $7.5 million across 15,000 paid keywords related to weight loss, which generated 2.4 million paid visits to Ozempic.com. Some drugmakers might be getting away with pay-per-click drug advertising that promotes their product for off-label use. Given that pharma companies devote about 56% of their annual digital ad spend to search—the second-highest share of any sector—marketers should work with search platforms to better align paid keywords with appropriate drug ad placements.
President Donald Trump remarked late last week that the cost of brand-name GLP-1 drugs could drop to $150 in the US. Trump didn’t detail which insurance markets the lower-cost GLP-1s would apply to, or how he plans to force Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly to drop their prices. With prescriptions surging, GLP-1 drugmakers must prepare for tougher scrutiny and calls from the government, doctors, and patients alike to make treatments more affordable. Pharma marketers should intensify messaging around their weight loss drugs being cost-effective over the long haul by preventing more serious chronic diseases.
Novo Nordisk lost its federal appeals court challenge of the prescription drug price negotiation program in the Biden-era Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) prescription drug price negotiation program, which could open the door for even more price checks. We see a path where the current administration revamps, or simply rebrands, IRA price negotiations as CMS negotiations to save taxpayer money and help consumers. Brands under pressure to drop prices through the IRA and executive orders should continue those good–faith efforts but also encourage the administration to put the same pressure on insurance companies and pharmaceutical benefit managers to lower healthcare costs.
Novo Nordisk is partnering with Costco to offer the retailer’s members Ozempic and Wegovy for $499 per month, or about half off what the medications cost patients without insurance. Novo tapping into Costco’s customer base of over 100 million US cardholders is a savvy play, especially considering that Costco members skew toward higher-income compared with shoppers generally. Novo and Costco can specifically market to new mothers and families broadly who may be struggling with weight gain due to their busy lives.
GoodRx is partnering with Kroger pharmacies to roll out a medication savings program for branded drugs, including Novo Nordisk’s Ozempic and Wegovy. Kroger has a great opportunity to market healthy food offerings through its grocery business to people picking up GLP-1 prescriptions at its pharmacy. This might involve pharmacist-led medication management, tailored marketing for store products that support GLP-1 use (e.g., high-protein, low-calorie, fiber-rich), and access to nutrition guidance and resources.
Telehealth company LifeMD is partnering with Novo Nordisk to offer diabetes patients Ozempic for $499 per month. GLP-1 price wars are taking place between drugmakers and online healthcare companies still selling compounded weight loss medications. Novo’s and Lilly’s branded drugs have the stamp of FDA approval in their favor, but many cost-conscious consumers paying out of pocket will still opt for the cheaper compounded GLP-1s (~$200 per month) through telehealth platforms like Hims & Hers.
Novo Nordisk’s CEO steps down: Investor panic and a slumping stock may have been driving factors. Despite falling behind Eli Lilly in the weight loss drug market, recent moves around oral GLP-1 development put Novo in a strong position.
The compounded GLP-1 market suffers another setback as Novo wins court case: Ads on social media for compounded weight loss drugs are still prevalent. But they’ll soon be subject to stricter regulatory oversight now that Big Pharma’s brand-name GLP-1s are available again.
Pharma industry hopes for drug-price delay dashed again: As the Trump administration pushes ahead with another round of IRA prescription drug-price negotiations, a delay seems unlikely.
The Ozempic shortage is over: We explore how an FDA decision impacts compounded weight loss drug sellers like Hims & Hers and patients who are prescribed GLP-1s.
It’s about to get a lot harder to get cheap GLP-1s: Rising costs may force consumers to cut back on discretionary spending, creating headwinds for retailers already fearing tariff-driven cost increases.
CMS unveils list of drugs for the next round of Medicare price negotiations: Drugmakers’ efforts to win over the Trump administration could amend the process in their favor—up to a certain point.
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