Retail Media Ad Spending Forecast H1 2026

A Scaled Second Tier Is Emerging as the Long Tail Falls Further Behind

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About This Report
Retail media is concentrating as a scaled second tier takes shape and the long tail slips further behind. Growth will persist, but the hierarchy is sharpening, raising the stakes for how networks compete and where advertisers place bets.
Table of Contents

Retail media is settling into a clearer hierarchy as Amazon remains dominant and a scaled second tier begins to take shape beneath it. Meanwhile, the crowded long tail is falling further behind. Channels that could help emerging RMNs break through, particularly in-store, remain underdeveloped, reinforcing the advantages of already scaled players.

Key Question: How should advertisers and retail media networks (RMNs) adapt as growth becomes increasingly concentrated among a small group of scaled players?

Key Stat: By 2028, Amazon’s retail media revenues will exceed $75 billion, more than $65 billion ahead of the next-largest RMN.

authors

Sarah Marzano

Contributors

Suzy Davidkhanian
VP, Content
Madan Kumar
Copy Editor
Penelope Lin
Director, Data Visualization
Wendy Malloy
Director, Reports Editor
Andrew Spink
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Johann Valderrama
Data Visualization Editor
Max Willens
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