The news: Advertisers are underestimating traditional radio’s reach amid the medium’s strong audience base of younger consumers and share of ad-supported audio time.
Despite this high potential for reach, US radio ad spending will slowly but steadily decline in coming years, dropping from $10.12 billion in 2026 to $9.05 billion by 2030, per our forecast.
What it means: There’s a disconnect between actual audience behavior and marketing assumptions. This misunderstanding goes beyond an image problem—if planners materially underestimate radio’s reach, they can’t allocate dollars correctly.
Hesitation to include radio in media mixes now may be partially driven by nostalgia and an assumption that, as digital formats like streaming and connected TV (CTV) grow, it isn’t as relevant.
Radio could also be suffering from how advertisers categorize media outcomes—if budgets are only focusing measurement efforts on digital, social, and CTV, traditional radio can get separated out from channels with similar awareness and frequency goals. This risks leaving it out of consideration before performance is even measured.
Recommendations for marketers: Audit assumptions about radio before reallocating budget, and evaluate the channel based on incrementality and business outcomes.
In addition, optimize ad timing for goal audiences by evaluating which audience types are tuning in to different show slots and timing product promotions. This includes marketing premium brands for early-morning, affluent professionals on their commutes, and household essentials and entertainment products for midday, at-home listeners.
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