The trend: Casual dining chains that lean into value are luring cost-conscious consumers, even as broader economic uncertainty tempers discretionary spending.
The examples:
- Darden-owned Olive Garden brought back its “Buy One Take One” promotion that offers customers a second to-go entrée along with their sit-down meal and saw its same-store sales jump 6.9% YoY in Q1, well ahead of the 4.6% analysts expected.
- Longhorn Steakhouse, also part of the Darden portfolio, used a similar value-focused playbook that included lunch plates that come with a side of soup or salad to boost same-store sales 6.7%, outpacing the 5.3% forecast.
- Texas Roadhouse drew traffic with deals like $5 margaritas during happy hour that helped its same-store sales rise 3.5%.
- Chili’s same-store sales surged 31.6% in its most recent quarter thanks to offers such as its $10.99 “3 for Me” deal—which includes a starter, entrée, and drink—that appeals to consumers looking for full-service dining at a fast-food price point.
Our take: Consumers haven’t stopped dining out, but they’ve become more selective. They’re increasingly looking for value experiences that offer more for their money.
That shift is pressuring some parts of the industry. Quick-service chains like McDonald’s and fine dining brands like Darden’s Ruth’s Chris and The Capital Grille are feeling the squeeze.
But it’s providing an opportunity for casual dining chains that offer affordable indulgences. Their combination of sit-down service and budget-friendly pricing is hitting the mark.
Recent spending data backs this up. Restaurant sales rose 5.3% YoY in May, the third straight month of growth above 5%, per the US Commerce Department. That’s a clear sign that consumers are still spending but being pickier.
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