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About
US Ecommerce 2026
How AI Could Reshape Online Retail and Alter Its Growth Trajectory
Ecommerce Forecasts 2026
The latest data and insights for the US, UK, Canada, Western Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Worldwide
Despite ongoing economic uncertainty and dampened consumer sentiment, US ecommerce sales growth will remain relatively steady through 2030. Online sales will grow by 7.9% in 2026, with slight moderation during our forecast period. The pace of AI commerce development and consumer adoption could have a significant impact on that trajectory.
Key Question: How will the rise of AI platforms and shopping assistants influence and change the trajectory of online spending in the US?
Key Stat: Under our base case scenario, the share of AI-driven ecommerce sales will increase from 3.2% of total US retail ecommerce in 2026 to 15.8% in 2030.
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Sky Canaves
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