LVMH’s China weakness exposes luxury’s growing dependence on the US

The news: Weakness in China weighed on LVMH’s Q3 performance amid depressed consumer sentiment, a tax crackdown, and a boycott following a lawsuit against a popular local tea brand.

  • Sales in the Asia region declined 5% YoY in the quarter.
  • Revenues at LVMH’s fashion and leather goods division, the company’s largest segment, also fell 5% on the back of sluggish China sales.

The big picture: Despite some company-specific headwinds—namely, the patriotic backlash triggered by LVMH’s trademark suit against Molly Tea—the Q3 performance underscores broader challenges for the luxury industry.

LVMH is more reliant on US consumers. The company cited the “buoyant US market” as a tailwind in Q3, with increased spending by American consumers helping to offset declines by Chinese, Japanese, and Middle Eastern shoppers. But that US resilience may be beginning to fade: Data from Citi showed a steady decline in luxury goods spending throughout Q3. That’s an issue as US consumers are expected to be the biggest source of luxury sales through 2035, according to Morningstar.

Shoppers are prioritizing hard luxury categories. Luxury customers are choosing to allocate more dollars toward watches, jewelry, and other items more likely to retain their value. That offers some benefits to LVMH given its ownership of Tiffany, Bulgari, and several luxury watch brands. But those categories accounted for less than 14% of overall revenues in the first nine months of 2026, compared with 46% for fashion and leather goods.

The luxury environment in China is worsening. A tax crackdown on high-net-worth individuals is chilling luxury spending, diminishing confidence among wealthy consumers and limiting their ability, at least in the short term, to buy expensive goods. LVMH CFO Cécile Cabanis also noted that a flow of bad news during the summer limited the “feel-good factor and created a short-term subdued Chinese backdrop,” contributing to the sales decline.

Implications for luxury: LVMH’s mixed report is a troubling sign for the rest of the industry, since its portfolio contains some of the most resilient and in-demand luxury brands. The uncertain macroeconomic backdrop in both the US and China could force the company to make more structural changes, such as rethinking its brands’ pricing architecture to win back aspirational shoppers and broaden its customer base.

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