Luxury growth increasingly depends on US shoppers

The data: The US is emerging as the most important market for luxury brands as economic uncertainty and geopolitical conflict cool spending elsewhere.

  • US personal luxury retail sales will cross the $100 billion mark for the first time in 2026, making the market over 50% bigger than China, per our forecast.
  • America will account for 31% of global luxury spending this year, well ahead of Europe’s 22% and China’s 18%, according to a Morningstar analysis shared with Bloomberg.
  • Americans are expected to make up the largest share of luxury sales until 2035, per Morningstar.

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