The news: Even as everyday expenses take up a larger share of consumer budgets, shoppers continue to use Instacart. Rather than pulling back from grocery delivery, they are shifting orders toward club and discount retailers on the platform, a pattern that benefits Instacart given the breadth of its retail partnerships.
The numbers:
Why it matters: The results highlight the resilience of Instacart’s model even as macroeconomic headwinds mount and competition intensifies.
Implications for retailers: Online grocery remains substantially underpenetrated, with just 13.5% of US grocery sales expected to occur online in 2026, per our forecast. That gives Instacart and its retail partners room to grow even as the competitive environment tightens.
As Amazon and Walmart double down on grocery, Instacart has an opportunity to position itself to retailers as a partner (rather than a competitor) that can help them build ecommerce capabilities, expand assortment, and improve last-mile fulfillment without heavy upfront investment. In a market where scale and logistics increasingly determine share, that support can act as a buffer for merchants that can’t match Amazon or Walmart’s infrastructure.
Instacart’s advertising business adds another strategic advantage. As brands shift spending toward high-intent retail media, its closed-loop measurement and purchase data make it a compelling alternative to broader digital channels. For partner grocers, that turns Instacart from a fulfillment cost center into a revenue-generating asset.
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