The news: Google heads into 2026 with clear momentum, pushing Gemini deeper into its ecosystem while turning AI into a growth engine across Search, Chrome, devices, and services.
Its latest models and services reveal a company intent on reshaping how people work and navigate information, even as competitors close in and overseas regulators tighten their grip. The year ahead will test whether Google can expand its AI advantage while holding together the foundations that made its dominance possible.
2025 highlights:
- Google deepened its AI-first strategy, embedding Gemini in nearly every product, including Search, Chrome, Android, and Nest smart home devices.
- The Big Tech giant also productized AI with breakthrough models like NotebookLM and Nano Banana, demonstrating its expertise in building viral tools for consumers and businesses.
-
Alphabet’s Google Services reported a 14% YoY revenue increase in Q3 2025, reaching $87.1 billion across Google Search, Google subscriptions, platforms, and devices, and YouTube ads.
Zooming in: Google’s Gemini 3 marks a step forward in reasoning, multimodal creation, and low-latency responses—positioning it as a daily productivity engine for billions across education and enterprise.
Gemini is reshaping Google’s core products. AI Overviews continue to absorb more search queries, pushing marketers to rethink how and where ads surface. And Chrome’s native Gemini integration—now live across more than 3 billion devices—extends that shift into the browser itself.
The challengers: Google is defending its core businesses on multiple fronts as OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, Anthropic, and Perplexity chip away at its lead in search, AI assistants, and advertising.
- OpenAI’s Apple partnership makes ChatGPT the default Ask feature in Safari on iOS 26, siphoning mobile search queries away from Google.
- Perplexity is gaining traction with information-heavy users with source transparency and a Pro tier that contrasts with Google’s opaque AI Overviews.
- Meta’s creative tools for advertisers are pressuring Google’s Display and YouTube ad volumes.
- Anthropic Claude’s reputation for safer reasoning is drawing enterprise users who might have otherwise defaulted to Google Gemini.
Regulatory strife: Google is facing challenges to its dominance around the world.
- A US federal court stopped short of ordering Google to divest Chrome in September, instead requiring the company to end exclusive search contracts and share some data with rivals.
- In the EU, the Digital Markets Act (DMA) has already forced changes, including new unbundling requirements for Search and Play Store billing.
- In India, the Competition Commission is reviewing Google's language model licensing terms for anticompetitive behavior.
Key takeaway: Gemini’s year-end surge in popularity and industry adoption of tools like Nano Banana are showing the scope of Google’s innovation. The next step is riding this wave by ensuring safety scales with AI intelligence while monetizing consumer touchpoints across its products and services.
Gemini could go from ChatGPT challenger to market leader, especially if it can define seamless AI use cases within its ecosystem of products and services, which no standalone AI company can compete with.
Google can make its AI a ubiquitous and necessary part of its users’ lives across web, mobile, and various services like search and browsers, helping it attain default status. The challenge will be sustaining model quality while enforcing AI safety at scale.