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In 2023, 58.5% of Meta’s $121.90 billion of ad revenues worldwide will come from Facebook, per our forecast. The remaining 41.5% will come from Instagram, whose ad revenues are growing faster than Facebook’s, which will decline in 2022. For the next two years, Instagram will continue to outpace Facebook by this measure.

Beyond the chart: Instagram’s ad revenue per user is around $34 worldwide, just ahead of Facebook’s $33 this year, according to our estimates. By 2024, Instagram’s ad revenue per user will approach $43, while Facebook’s will be about $36.

The success of Meta’s ad business is increasingly tied to Instagram’s growth. We estimate 1.28 billion people worldwide will use the platform monthly by year-end, and that figure will increase to 1.49 billion in 2026.

More like this:

• Report: Social Media Trends to Watch for 2023
• Article: How Gen Z consumes media in 5 charts
• Article: Tech, retail, and streaming companies to make stronger play for digital ad dollars in 2023

Methodology: Estimates are based on the analysis of various elements related to the ad spending market, including macro-level economic conditions; historical trends of the advertising market; historical trends of each medium in relation to other media; reported revenues from major ad publishers; estimates from other research firms; data from benchmark sources; consumer media consumption trends; consumer device usage trends; and eMarketer interviews with executives at ad agencies, brands, media publishers, and other industry leaders.