The trend: While consumers haven’t lost their appetite for eating out, the rising cost of dining—food-away-from-home prices rose 3.7% YoY in November—has sharpened their focus on value and is influencing where they choose to eat.
- That trend is working to the advantage of Darden Restaurants’ Olive Garden brand, which rolled out its Never Ending Pasta Bowl promotion on August 25 (August 18 for eClub loyalty members). The deal—unlimited pasta, soup or salad, and breadsticks for $13.99, the same price since 2022—has been a major draw.
- The promotion drove a 4.7% increase in same-restaurant sales in FYQ2, as well as a 5.6% YoY gain in foot traffic the week of November 10, per Placer.ai.
- It’s a similar story at Darden’s LongHorn Steakhouse, where the chain’s strong value proposition—which includes an $8.49 steakhouse lunch plate that’s cheaper than many quick-service meals—continues to attract diners. The payoff showed up in the numbers: Same-restaurant sales rose 5.9%, and foot traffic increased 7.7% the week of November 10.
Zooming in: Darden’s ability to deliver strong value helped it post better-than-expected top-line results.
- Net sales in the fiscal second quarter were $3.10 billion, up 7.3% and ahead of the $3.07 billion analysts expected.
- Adjusted earnings per share were $2.08, up 2.5% YoY but just shy of the $2.10 expectation, reflecting “significant commodity headwinds” due to higher beef prices—which took a bite out of margins at LongHorn and Ruth’s Chris Steak House.
- Same-restaurant sales rose 4.3%, well above the 2.95% analysts anticipated, driven by outperformance at Olive Garden and LongHorn. The company’s fine dining chains had more modest growth of 0.8%.
Those gains are making Darden bullish about its prospects in the second half of its fiscal year. The company now expects total sales growth of 8.5% to 9.3% (including roughly 2% growth related to the 53rd week) and same-restaurant sales growth of 3.5% to 4.3%, up from its previous ranges of 7.5% to 8.5% and 2.5% to 3.5%, respectively.
Our take: Darden is meeting cost-conscious consumers where they are with promotions like the Never Ending Pasta Bowl. That type of deal resonates because it delivers clear value at a moment when inflation’s most visible pressures—especially on food—remain top of mind for many. If Darden can maintain that strong value proposition while keeping its costs in check, it will be well positioned to continue outperforming its peers.