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December 1, 2025
Major AI Platforms Will Drive Nearly 9% of US Ecommerce Sales in 2029, (billions in US AI platform-driven retail ecommerce sales, % change, and % of total retail ecommerce sales, 2025-2029)
Note
General-purpose AI platforms can be used for various tasks, including shopping, where the assistant can influence, guide, and/or execute part or all of a transaction. Examples of general-purpose AI platforms include ChatGPT, Google Gemini, and Perplexity. Retailer-native AI assistants (e.g., ... Amazon’s Rufus, Walmart’s Sparky) and specialized third-party AI shopping assistants (e.g., BuyScout, Daydream) are not counted as general-purpose AI platforms. Retail ecommerce sales include products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of payment or fulfillment. Travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes, or money transfers, restaurant sales, food services and drinking place sales, and gambling and other vice goods sales are excluded.
Methodology
Estimates are based on the analysis of data from other research firms, including traffic data to US retail sites, session behavior, reported and estimated revenues of major online retailers, consumer online buying trends, and macro-level economic conditions.
Major AI Platforms Will Drive Nearly 9% of US Ecommerce Sales in 2029, (billions in US AI platform-driven retail ecommerce sales, % change, and % of total retail ecommerce sales, 2025-2029)