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What Brands and Retailers Need to Know About Google’s Universal Commerce Protocol

While Google and OpenAI Fight to Drive Sales on Their AI Platforms, Consumers Shrug and Head to Retailer Sites

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About This Report
Google’s Universal Commerce Protocol promises a common standard for agentic commerce. But AI-driven checkout will remain small for the foreseeable future, keeping the focus on how AI influences discovery rather than where transactions are completed.
Table of Contents

Google’s Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) aims to standardize AI-driven checkout across the shopping journey. But as AI commerce grows, most sales will still happen off-platform, forcing brands and retailers to decide where AI investments actually pay off.

Key Question: How will Google’s UCP affect AI-driven commerce?

Key Stat: AI platforms are starting to drive sales, but little of that spending happens directly on AI platforms. On-platform sales will make up just 1.7% of US retail ecommerce spending in 2029.

authors

Nate Elliott

Contributors

Penelope Lin
Director, Data Visualization
Naomi Rebuelta
Copy Editor
Matt Torpey
Senior Chart Editor
Emman Velasco
Chart Editor
Julia Woolever

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