US Ecommerce Returns 2026

How Rising Return Costs Are Forcing Retailers to Rethink Strategy

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About This Report
As ecommerce scales, online returns are becoming a permanent margin drag. Fees and tighter policies can shift consumer behavior but put sales and loyalty at risk, forcing retailers to balance cost control with convenience expectations.
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We prepared this report with the assistance of generative AI tools and stand behind its accuracy, quality, and originality.

Ecommerce returns are now a structural cost. Fees and stricter policies can curb volume but potentially hurt conversion and loyalty, leaving retailers to balance margin protection with customer experience (CX) as convenience expectations climb.

Key Question: How should retailers manage rising returns without sacrificing CX or profitability?

Key Stat: Ecommerce will comprise almost 48% of US retail returns by 2029, with total returns reaching $951.36 billion.

Clients can find the full version of this chart later in the report.

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EMARKETER Editors

Contributors

Suzy Davidkhanian
VP, Content
Eleni Digalaki
Sky Canaves
Principal Analyst
Cindy Liu
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Wendy Malloy
Director, Reports Editor
Amy Rotondo
Director, US Research
Sakina Thanawala
Copy Editor
Jherr Daven Velasco
Data Visualization Editor
Emman Velasco
Data Visualization Editor
Lara Robla Vila
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