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Retail & Ecommerce Earnings Q3 2025

Spending Holds Firm, but Sharpening Income Divide Shapes Retail Outlook into the Holidays

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About This Report
Q3 consumer spending looked steady, but the gains were fueled mainly by higher-income shoppers, revealing a split landscape that bolstered value and essentials retailers while squeezing brands dependent on discretionary and big-ticket projects.
Table of Contents

While consumer spending was solid in Q3, most of the strength came from higher-income shoppers as lower- and middle-income households pulled back. That divide shaped retail results, lifting value- and essentials-focused players while pressuring brands tied to discretionary and big-ticket categories. The quarter revealed a consumer landscape marked by uneven demand and a sharper hunt for affordability.

Key question: What do Q3 2025 retail earnings tell us about how key retail segments are performing during a time of significant economic uncertainty?

authors

Zak Stambor, Rachel Wolff

Contributors

Karen Jacobs
Brian Lau
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Cindy Liu
Senior Forecasting Analyst
Tyler Van Dyke

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