The news: While higher-income households become more selective as they concentrate their retail spending on brands with a strong identity, on-trend products, and clear product stories.
The contrast: The starkly different results from Ralph Lauren and Capri, parent of Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo, demonstrate why some brands are outperforming while others struggle.
Ralph Lauren raised its full-year revenue and adjusted operating margin expansion outlook after growing its fiscal Q1 revenues 13% on a constant basis. The company was aided by investment in brand building, product innovation, and customer engagement.
By contrast, Capri lowered its revenue guidance, citing headwinds related to the war in Iran and inventory delays at Michael Kors. The move came as it reported fiscal Q1 revenues fell 4.1% on a constant basis, driven in part by a 7.6% decline at Michael Kors.
Having sold Versace to Prada Group last year, Capri is looking to turn around Michael Kors, which accounts for more than three quarters of the company’s revenues. It plans to reduce promotions and refocus on full-price selling.
Implications for brands: Challenging macro environments increase the importance of execution. Even though we expect US personal luxury sales will grow 3.3% this year, a significant jump from a sluggish 1.2% gain last year, that rising tide won’t lift all boats. Ralph Lauren’s strong brand is delivering growth, while Capri is struggling to keep its margins in check.
That divergence highlights a growing split in the market. As higher-income consumers become more discriminating, they are favoring brands with a compelling product story and moving away from those that lack differentiation. Brands with pricing power can continue to grow, while others risk getting left behind.
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