The data: Most podcasts that debuted in 2025 have already gone dark, per Podchaser. Of the 193,413 new shows defined as “serious launches”—with more than two episodes released on multiple days—less than 40% are still actively publishing.
The shows that have survived display correlations in terms of episode length, guest appearances, and publishing schedule.
Why it matters: Advertisers choosing podcast partners need to be highly discriminating to avoid wasting their spend. Appearing in new shows may offer benefits such as less ad clutter and exposure to engaged audiences, but it’s also a risk because these players can be quick to shutter, leaving ad partners in the lurch.
Advertisers are hungry for more podcasting opportunities—we expect US podcast ad spending to increase 39% between 2026 and 2030 to reach $4.74 billion. But ensuring that this budget line leads to actual ROI will depend on vetting podcasters’ long-term viability over their short-term momentum.
Recommendations for advertisers: Don’t shy away from podcasts, but do be vigilant in researching potential partners to hedge against negative outcomes.
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