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China’s retail sales slump highlights consumers’ growing caution

The news: China’s economic malaise deepened in November.

  • Retail sales rose just 1.3% YoY, well below analysts’ median forecast for 2.8% growth, despite blockbuster Singles Day promotions.
  • Investment and industrial output also fell short of expectations, signaling greater caution from businesses and individuals as they grapple with trade and economic uncertainty.

The trend: Chinese consumers are currently finding more reasons to save than spend.

  • China’s property crisis shows no signs of improvement. Property investment sank 15.9% YoY in November, while average new and resale home prices also fell. That is severely challenging consumer confidence and buying power in a country where roughly 70% of household wealth is tied up in real estate.
  • Fierce price competition among businesses is fueling deflation and weighing on wage growth. The need to slash prices to entice cost-sensitive consumers has hurt profitability across many sectors, forcing companies to lay off workers or reduce salaries to stay operational.

Beijing promised to make consumption recovery a priority for 2026—but similar pledges have produced uneven results. For example, subsidies for specific sectors like autos and appliances helped deliver a short-term boost in retail sales, but such gains have been hard to sustain once the money runs out.

Our recommendations: To succeed in this difficult environment, brands need to:

  • Localize marketing and selling strategies. Companies that can show they are in tune with local trends and preferences stand a better chance of winning sales.
  • Be competitive on price. Brands that don’t make an effort to adjust prices could find themselves shut out as shoppers search for lower-cost options.
  • Invest in experiences. Grand activations like Louis Vuitton’s cruise ship-shaped Shanghai store give shoppers a reason to visit stores and stay engaged.

This content is part of EMARKETER’s subscription Briefings, where we pair daily updates with data and analysis from forecasts and research reports. Our Briefings prepare you to start your day informed, to provide critical insights in an important meeting, and to understand the context of what’s happening in your industry. Non-clients can click here to get a demo of our full platform and coverage.

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