US GenAI Consumer Adoption Forecast H1 2026

Google Is Poised to Overtake ChatGPT as AI Hits Mainstream Adoption

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About This Report
AI usage is becoming habitual as a broader range of people adopt AI for a broader set of use cases. Google’s lead in traditional search has given it the platform to take leadership in AI users next year, even as OpenAI still commands deeper engagement.
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AI usage has shifted from experimentation to habit as people increasingly turn to AI for health, shopping, and personalized recommendations in addition to their more-established AI search behavior. Google is gaining scale by embedding AI into traditional search, but ChatGPT still drives heavier engagement.

Key Question: How quickly will AI adoption grow, and which platforms will drive that adoption?

Key Stat: About half of people online now use AI—a number that has doubled in just three years. As AI’s user base broadens, almost 190 million people will use these tools by 2030. Google’s AI tools will drive most new growth, as unduplicated Gemini and AI Mode users exceed ChatGPT users in 2027 and stretch their lead from there.

Clients can find the full version of this chart later in the report.

authors

Nate Elliott, Cindy Liu

Contributors

Carina Lamb
Sakina Thanawala
Copy Editor
Matt Torpey
Senior Data Visualization Editor
Jherr Daven Velasco
Data Visualization Editor
Julia Woolever
Director, Report Editing
Yoram Wurmser
Principal Analyst
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