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Monetizing MySpace Traffic

AUGUST 11, 2008


Debra Aho Williamson, Senior Analyst

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Last week, News Corp. said that Fox Interactive Media (FIM) generated $225 million in revenues in the quarter ended June 30, 2008, up 23% year over year. But revenue growth is sliding: FIM revenues climbed 55% year over year in the quarter ended March 31, 2008 (News Corp.'s fiscal Q3), to $210 million, and 87% in fiscal Q2, to $233 million.

Fox Interactive Media Revenues, by Quarter, Fiscal 2008* (millions and % change**)

Adding it all up, FIM generated revenues of $856 million in fiscal 2008—off 14% from the $1 billion target News Corp. chief Rupert Murdoch had set this time last year, and also down from the $900 million News Corp. had suggested FIM would earn in last quarter's earnings call.

FIM consists of a number of Websites, including MySpace, AmericanIdol.com, PhotoBucket and FOXSports.com. News Corp. has never said publicly how much of FIM's revenues come from MySpace, but the generally accepted estimate is 80%. That would put MySpace at about $685 million in revenues for the fiscal year (including both US and international).

Despite the slowing rate of revenue growth, an eMarketer analysis of FIM US revenues versus unique visitors shows that FIM is getting better at monetizing its traffic.

eMarketer estimates that the US accounts for 80% of total FIM revenues. That puts US revenues at FIM at $180 million in the June quarter, up 23% from $146 million in the same quarter in 2007. By contrast, the average number of monthly unique visitors in the US grew just 6.6% in the same time period, according to eMarketer's analysis of comScore Media Metrix data.

Fox Interactive Media US Revenues and Unique Visitors, April 2007-June 2008 (millions and % change)

US monthly revenue per unique visitor is also growing. In the 2007 June quarter, FIM earned roughly $0.59 in average monthly revenue per US unique visitor, according to eMarketer's calculations. In the 2008 June quarter, average monthly revenue per US unique visitor was $0.68—a 15% increase.

However, monetization has fallen off since late 2007, when average monthly revenue per unique visitor reached $0.75.

To develop its figures, eMarketer estimated US quarterly revenues for FIM and then divided those estimates into three even parts to generate monthly revenue numbers (a rough calculation, of course, but FIM does not release monthly revenues). Then, we divided each monthly revenue figure by monthly US unique visitor totals as measured by comScore. The resulting dollar amount was then averaged over the three months of each quarter.

Fox Interactive Media US Revenues, Unique Visitors and Average Monthly Revenue per Unique Visitor, April 2007-June 2008

One factor driving better monetization is MySpace's HyperTargeting initiative, in which display ads are targeted based on information users put in their profiles. One-half of all ad buys now include HyperTargeting, and for the past two quarters CPMs for HyperTargeting campaigns have been more than double those for nontargeted advertising, News Corp. COO Peter Chernin said during last week's earnings conference call.

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