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The Ups and Downs of European Online Travel

JUNE 15, 2007

A bumpy ride ahead?

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eMarketer estimates that online travel sales in the five major travel markets of Europe — France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK — will total nearly $49 billion this year, up 27% over 2006.

Online Leisure/Unmanaged Business Travel Sales in Western Europe*, 2006-2011 (billions and % increase vs. prior year**)

That's the good news.

"Over the next four years, as the European online travel market matures, sales growth in the sector will steadily decrease," says Jeffrey Grau, eMarketer Senior Analyst and the author of the new report, European Online Travel. "Conversely, that means competition for online travel dollars is going to increase."

After peaking in 2005, personal travel and tourism spending growth (online and offline) by the 25 European Union member states entered a moderate phase, as evidenced by data published by the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC).

Personal Travel and Tourism Spending in the EU-25 Countries, 2004-2011 (% increase vs. prior year)

"This year, spending by the EU-25 members is expected to grow only 2.4% over last year," says Mr. Grau. "The newest members of the European Union — Eastern European nations such as Poland and the Czech Republic — will play a key role in stimulating future growth."

Tourists staying in Europe are most likely to be in-country residents, followed by non-residents from other European countries and, lastly, non-residents from outside Europe. No matter where they go, though, it is good news for European travel service providers, as Europeans take their leisure time seriously — and have more vacation/travel time than Americans.

According to Expedia, the average working adult in the US earns far fewer vacation days than his or her counterpart in Europe.

Vacation Days per Year Alloted to and Unused by Working Adults in Select Countries in Western Europe and the US, March-April 2007 (average)

"Nevertheless, a number of powerful economic, business, technology and consumer trends are affecting the travel industry in general, and the European online travel sector specifically," says Mr. Grau. "In order to succeed over the long haul, travel companies will need to create travel products for consumers who place high expectations on their travel experiences and expect a high degree of service and selection."

Open a map to the future — read the new eMarketer European Online Travel report today. 

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